Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
