Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for VVV-Venlo in this match.

Result
VVV-Venlo	Draw	De Graafschap
41.63% ( -0)	23.35% ( 0)	35.02% ( 0)

Both teams to score 63.6% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.04% (

-0)

37.96% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.78% (

-0)

60.22% (

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

-0)

18.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50% (

-0)

50% (

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2% (

-0)

21.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.99% (

-0)

55%

Score Analysis

VVV-Venlo 41.63%

De Graafschap 35.02%

Draw 23.34%

VVV-Venlo	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.57% Total : 41.63%	1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 4.07% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.34%	1-2 @ 7.92% 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.53% 2-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.02%