SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.32%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong Ajax |
37.32% ( 0.74) | 22.19% ( 0) | 40.49% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 68.52% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.28% ( 0.1) | 31.71% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.77% ( 0.12) | 53.23% ( -0.11) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( 0.37) | 17.88% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( 0.64) | 48.67% ( -0.63) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( -0.25) | 16.55% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.68% ( -0.45) | 46.32% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 37.32% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 40.49% |
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