Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 3-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
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