SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Den Bosch |
47.44% ( 0.04) | 24.53% ( -0.1) | 28.02% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( 0.46) | 46.55% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.43) | 68.82% ( -0.43) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( 0.2) | 19.7% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.29% ( 0.33) | 51.7% ( -0.33) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( 0.28) | 30.36% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( 0.34) | 66.55% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Den Bosch |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.44% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.02% |
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