Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
