Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
