Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
