Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 54.63%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	SBV Excelsior
54.63%	21.93%	23.44%

Both teams to score 60.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.3%

38.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39%

61%

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.83%

14.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.14%

41.86%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.25%

29.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.18%

65.82%

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 54.63%

SBV Excelsior 23.44%

Draw 21.93%

FC Volendam	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.76% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 6.36% 3-0 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 3.11% 4-0 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.63%	1-1 @ 9.99% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 4.22% 3-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.93%	1-2 @ 6.05% 0-1 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 2.45% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.09% Total : 23.44%