Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
