Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.85%) and 3-1 (6.79%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	NAC Breda
55.92% ( 0.24)	20.45% ( 0.07)	23.62% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 66.04% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.7% (

-0.73)

31.3% (

0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.26% (

-0.86)

52.74% (

0.87)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.65% (

-0.16)

11.34% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.96% (

-0.37)

36.04% (

0.37)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49% (

-0.64)

25.5% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.65% (

-0.88)

60.35% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 55.92%

NAC Breda 23.62%

Draw 20.45%

Jong Ajax	Draw	NAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.05% Total : 55.92%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.45%	1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.62%