Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 48.24%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 25.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.05) 
