Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
