SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | NAC Breda |
35.22% ( 0.08) | 23.86% ( -0.03) | 40.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.16) | 40.4% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% ( 0.16) | 62.78% ( -0.16) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( 0.12) | 22.81% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.47% ( 0.17) | 56.53% ( -0.17) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.99% ( 0.04) | 20.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% ( 0.07) | 52.2% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 40.92% |
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