SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Almere City |
39.57% ( 0.09) | 25.01% ( 0.02) | 35.42% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.57% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.16% ( -0.08) | 45.84% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( -0.08) | 68.15% ( 0.08) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.99% ( 0.01) | 23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.19% ( 0.01) | 56.81% ( -0.01) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.1) | 25.23% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( -0.13) | 59.97% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.42% |
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