Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	Telstar
60.15% ( 0.72)	20.28% ( -0.24)	19.57% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 60.33% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.99% (

0.42)

36.01% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.89% (

0.46)

58.11% (

-0.46)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.32% (

0.33)

11.68% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.24% (

0.7)

36.76% (

-0.7)

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31% (

-0.22)

31.69% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.9% (

-0.25)

68.1% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 60.15%

Telstar 19.57%

Draw 20.28%

Jong Ajax	Draw	Telstar
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.54% Total : 60.15%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.28%	1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 19.57%