Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for TOP Oss had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a TOP Oss win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
