Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roda JC in this match.
