Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.73%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
