SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 10.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 3-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Jong PSV |
74.31% ( 0.18) | 14.92% ( -0.1) | 10.77% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71% ( 0.32) | 29% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.03% ( 0.39) | 49.97% ( -0.38) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.37% ( 0.11) | 6.63% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.39% ( 0.29) | 24.61% ( -0.28) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.68% ( 0.11) | 38.32% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( 0.11) | 75.08% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Jong PSV |
| 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.44% Total : 74.31% | 1-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 14.92% | 1-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 10.77% |
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