SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
51.44% ( -1.05) | 22.06% ( 0.24) | 26.5% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.73% ( -0.45) | 36.27% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.6% ( -0.49) | 58.4% ( 0.49) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.64% ( -0.5) | 14.36% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.77% ( -0.96) | 42.22% ( 0.96) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( 0.33) | 26.11% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( 0.45) | 61.18% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.45% Total : 51.44% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.06% | 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 26.5% |
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