SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Dordrecht |
44.18% ( 0.01) | 23.68% ( 0.02) | 32.14% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.53% ( -0.1) | 40.46% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.15% ( -0.1) | 62.84% ( 0.1) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( -0.03) | 18.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.08% ( -0.06) | 49.92% ( 0.05) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( -0.07) | 24.58% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( -0.09) | 59.07% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | Dordrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 44.18% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.14% |
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