Zwolle have all to play for in this one and the onus will be on them to take control of proceedings. That said, Utrecht are in better form heading into the game, and we are backing a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
