Both sides come into this one with their respective fates already sealed, but we expect an exciting affair nonetheless. We are also backing PSV to come away with all three points at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 14.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
14.9% ( -0.09)	20.13% ( -0.03)	64.97% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.18% (

-0.05)

43.82% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.79% (

-0.05)

66.2% (

0.04)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.15% (

-0.15)

41.85% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.69% (

-0.13)

78.31% (

0.12)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.29% (

0.01)

12.71% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.07% (

0.04)

38.93% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 14.9%

PSV Eindhoven 64.97%

Draw 20.13%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 14.9%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.13%	0-2 @ 11.31% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-4 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 64.97%