Zwolle are in a downward spiral coming into this one, and AZ will be looking to heap more misery on their hosts. We are backing the away side to come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
