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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 3-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.75%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NAC Breda |
67.22% ( 0.72) | 17.64% ( -0.31) | 15.14% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 60.65% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.66% ( 0.68) | 31.34% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.21% ( 0.8) | 52.79% ( -0.8) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.37% ( 0.34) | 8.63% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.24% ( 0.83) | 29.76% ( -0.83) |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.05) | 33.62% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.73% ( -0.05) | 70.26% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 7.75% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.09)5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.51% Total : 67.22% | 1-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 17.64% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.62% Total : 15.14% |
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