SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
49.52% ( -0.15) | 23.23% ( -0.01) | 27.24% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 59.74% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( 0.18) | 41.23% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.37% ( 0.18) | 63.62% ( -0.18) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.17% ( 0.01) | 16.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.19% ( 0.02) | 46.81% ( -0.02) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( 0.21) | 28.17% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% ( 0.27) | 63.86% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.16% Total : 49.52% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.24% |
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