Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Jong Ajax | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
42.92% ( 0.54) | 23.17% ( -0.14) | 33.91% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 63.97% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.65% ( 0.58) | 37.35% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.43% ( 0.62) | 59.56% ( -0.62) |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.12% ( 0.46) | 17.88% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.34% ( 0.79) | 48.66% ( -0.79) |
FC Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.89% ( 0.06) | 22.1% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.53% ( 0.09) | 55.47% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Jong Ajax | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.88% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 33.91% |
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