SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.58%) and 3-1 (5.44%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
44.33% ( 0.69) | 22.01% ( -0.1) | 33.65% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 68.31% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.36% ( 0.31) | 31.64% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.86% ( 0.36) | 53.14% ( -0.37) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( 0.37) | 15.06% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.43% ( 0.7) | 43.57% ( -0.7) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( -0.15) | 19.57% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.51% ( -0.24) | 51.49% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong Ajax | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.05)4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.29% Total : 44.33% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 33.65% |
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