Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 72.63%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 10.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Telstar win it was 0-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
