Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 18.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Telstar win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Telstar
61.87%	19.97%	18.15%

Both teams to score 58.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.12%

36.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.94%

59.06%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.52%

11.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.67%

36.32%

Telstar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35%

33.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7%

70.3%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 61.87%

Telstar 18.15%

Draw 19.97%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Telstar
2-1 @ 9.86% 2-0 @ 9.05% 1-0 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 7.11% 3-0 @ 6.53% 3-2 @ 3.87% 4-1 @ 3.85% 4-0 @ 3.54% 4-2 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.67% 5-0 @ 1.53% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.87%	1-1 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 5.37% 0-0 @ 3.86% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.97%	1-2 @ 4.96% 0-1 @ 4.21% 0-2 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.95% 1-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.95% Total : 18.15%