Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Jong PSV | Draw | Willem II |
27.52% (![]() | 24.65% (![]() | 47.83% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.16% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% (![]() | 47.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% (![]() | 69.6% (![]() |
Jong PSV Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.83% (![]() | 31.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.5% (![]() | 67.5% (![]() |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.13% (![]() | 19.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.02% (![]() | 51.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Jong PSV | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 7.22% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.52% | 1-1 @ 11.66% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.19% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 10% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.43% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.08% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.82% |
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