SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 51.54%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | Jong Ajax |
51.54% ( -0.75) | 22.68% ( 0.14) | 25.78% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 60.3% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.13% ( -0.1) | 39.87% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.77% ( -0.1) | 62.23% ( 0.1) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( -0.29) | 15.61% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.4% ( -0.55) | 44.6% ( 0.55) |
| Jong Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% ( 0.42) | 28.54% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% ( 0.52) | 64.32% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | Jong Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.74% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.48% Total : 25.78% |
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