Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0) 
-0.01) 
