SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Willem II in this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
52.51% ( 0.54) | 23.11% ( 0.36) | 24.38% ( -0.9) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( -2.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.84% ( -2.51) | 43.16% ( 2.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.44% ( -2.52) | 65.56% ( 2.52) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( -0.71) | 16.45% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.86% ( -1.31) | 46.15% ( 1.31) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.59% ( -2.06) | 31.41% ( 2.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.22% ( -2.46) | 67.78% ( 2.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.79)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.16)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.51% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.29)0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.55)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.75% Total : 24.38% |
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