SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-0 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Den Bosch | Draw | Willem II |
18.17% ( -0.02) | 21.32% ( 0.07) | 60.5% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.88% ( -0.35) | 43.12% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.48% ( -0.35) | 65.52% ( 0.36) |
| Den Bosch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.64% ( -0.23) | 37.35% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.86% ( -0.22) | 74.14% ( 0.23) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.19% ( -0.13) | 13.81% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.85% ( -0.26) | 41.15% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Den Bosch | Draw | Willem II |
| 1-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 18.17% | 1-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.31% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 10.11% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 9.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.57% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 60.5% |
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