SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
32% ( -1.31) | 24.56% ( -0.23) | 43.45% ( 1.54) |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( 0.63) | 44.62% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( 0.6) | 66.99% ( -0.6) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0.5) | 26.69% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( -0.67) | 61.94% ( 0.67) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( 0.97) | 20.64% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.8% ( 1.51) | 53.21% ( -1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.31)2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.14% Total : 32% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.77% Total : 43.45% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
