SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 73.85%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 10.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Willem II in this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
73.85% ( -0.14) | 15.94% ( 0.08) | 10.21% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.93% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.87% ( -0.22) | 36.13% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.76% ( -0.25) | 58.24% ( 0.24) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.62% ( -0.08) | 8.38% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.84% ( -0.21) | 29.16% ( 0.2) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.58% ( -0.05) | 44.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.54% ( -0.04) | 80.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 73.84% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.96% Total : 15.94% | 1-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 10.21% |
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