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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
NL

AFC Wimbledon
vs.
Newcastle

 
Coverage of the EFL Cup Third Round clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Next Game: Bradford vs. AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Fulham vs. Newcastle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 24.28% and a draw has a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.98%).

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
24.28% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 22.03% (0.107 0.11) 53.69% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.96% (-0.325 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73% (-0.456 -0.46)38.27% (0.456 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45% (-0.487 -0.49)60.55% (0.486 0.49)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.205 -0.2)28.84% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (-0.256 -0.26)64.7% (0.256 0.26)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (-0.208 -0.21)14.33% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.84% (-0.406 -0.41)42.16% (0.407 0.41)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 24.28%
    Newcastle United 53.69%
    Draw 22.03%
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 6.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.14% (0.082 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.19% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 24.28%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.05% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 53.69%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Ipswich (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bromley 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Newcastle (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, August 28 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Newcastle
Sunday, August 25 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Brest
Saturday, August 10 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 3


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