We said: Arsenal 3-1 Newcastle United
Goals are there to be had at the Emirates on Saturday, as Newcastle are always threatening when Saint-Maximin is on the ball, but their abysmal defensive record speaks for itself.
Arsenal have consistently produced in front of their own supporters this season, and with or without Howe in the dugout, we cannot see the winless Magpies springing any surprises here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
