We said: Manchester United 1-1 Arsenal
It is difficult to know exactly what to expect from this Man United side as the club works to sort out Rangnick's visa, but if the hosts want to impress the much-admired German, a greater urgency to press higher up the field should be on the menu.
Arsenal's alarming lack of goals away from home will not be helped by Saka's expected absence and Aubameyang's misfiring tendencies, but they have been a bogey team for United in recent years and can harbour hopes of all three points here, although they may have to settle for just one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
