We said: Everton 0-1 Arsenal
The less said about Arsenal's defence versus the 'Big Six' sides the better, but Arteta's men have done well to shut up shop against most other teams and should take advantage of Everton's downward slump to get back on track.
It is difficult to back Arteta's men to produce a goal-laden showing given their struggles to score from open play - not helped by Aubameyang missing sitters two weeks in a row - so this contest could be decided by just the one goal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
