Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Everton has a probability of 33.83% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline was Everton 1-1 Arsenal with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines were 0-1 (9.39%), 1-2 (8.72%), 1-0 (8.43%). The actual score line of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8%.