SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Barrow |
26.51% ( -0.2) | 25.24% ( -0.47) | 48.25% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 52.46% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.46% ( 1.76) | 50.54% ( -1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.54% ( 1.53) | 72.46% ( -1.53) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( 0.78) | 33.62% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( 0.84) | 70.27% ( -0.84) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 1.02) | 20.97% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.28% ( 1.56) | 53.72% ( -1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.51% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.24% |
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