SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Millwall |
42.46% ( 0.44) | 28.25% ( 0.24) | 29.28% ( -0.68) |
| Both teams to score 45.51% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% ( -1.07) | 60.36% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% ( -0.81) | 80.51% ( 0.82) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.27) | 28.12% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.34) | 63.79% ( 0.34) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.31% ( -1.11) | 36.69% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.52% ( -1.13) | 73.48% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.46% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.85% Total : 29.28% |
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