The Saints have not lost a second-round EFL Cup encounter away from home since 2005-06, when it was known as the Carling Cup, failing to concede on the road at this stage since 2013-14.
Cambridge have not fared well at this point of the tournament for a long time, and that was primarily against second or third-tier sides, so we do not expect them to trouble a Southampton team who had 12 different players score in the Premier League last season, while another eight had at least one assist.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 52.79%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Southampton in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southampton.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
