With both teams having been leaky in defence during the opening weeks, as much attention will be placed on that area of the pitch as the other end. Nevertheless, home advantage could prove key for Leicester, who we are backing to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Southampton
60.09% ( -1.34)	22.19% ( 0.63)	17.72% ( 0.72)

Both teams to score 50.29% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.39% (

-1.48)

47.61% (

1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.19% (

-1.38)

69.81% (

1.38)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.57% (

-0.92)

15.42% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.74% (

-1.76)

44.25% (

1.76)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.46% (

-0.01)

40.54% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.86% (

-0.01)

77.14% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 60.08%

Southampton 17.72%

Draw 22.18%

Leicester City	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.28% Total : 60.08%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.31) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 22.18%	0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.72%