Premier League | Gameweek 17

Dec 16, 2021 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
3 - 1
Newcastle

Jota (21'), Salah (25'), Alexander-Arnold (87')
Henderson (70')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Shelvey (7')
Joelinton (45+2'), Fraser (55'), Hayden (86')

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The Match

We said: Liverpool 3-0 Newcastle United

Even with a heavy defensive presence on the field, Newcastle should be outfought and outclassed by Klopp's rampant Liverpool on the Anfield turf. The hosts will likely call upon some of their fringe players amid the hectic winter schedule but should have no trouble piling more misery on the Magpies in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 82.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 5.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.16%) and 1-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (2.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Newcastle United
82.65%	11.84%	5.51%

Both teams to score 42.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.04%

33.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.17%

55.83%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.9%

6.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.84%

23.16%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.33%

54.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.32%

87.68%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 82.63%

Newcastle United 5.51%

Draw 11.84%

Liverpool	Draw	Newcastle United
2-0 @ 13.04% 3-0 @ 12.16% 1-0 @ 9.33% 4-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 7.35% 4-1 @ 5.14% 5-0 @ 4.76% 5-1 @ 2.88% 6-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-2 @ 1.55% 6-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 4.25% Total : 82.63%	1-1 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 3.33% 2-2 @ 2.38% Other @ 0.5% Total : 11.84%	0-1 @ 2.01% 1-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 1.8% Total : 5.51%