Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
