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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
P

Newport
3 - 2
Portsmouth

Evans (14'), Wildig (49'), Waite (74')
Willmott (81'), Evans (87'), Drysdale (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Curtis (9', 25')
Raggett (69'), Mingi (84'), Curtis (90+4')

We said: Newport County 1-3 Portsmouth

While Newport County will be looking to build on last weekend's victory, they go up against a spirited Portsmouth side who have won their last four games in all competitions. Pompey are also unbeaten in the new campaign and we are backing them to maintain their fine run of results and come away with a comfortable victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawPortsmouth
41.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 26.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)53.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.013999999999996 0.01)25.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.55% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)31.45% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.83% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 41.46%
    Portsmouth 31.81%
    Draw 26.72%
Newport CountyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.81%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-3 Salford City
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Newport
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Newport
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Walsall
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Newport
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One


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