Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
3.03) 
-0.52) 
