League One | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
3 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Ogilvie (32'), Pigott (82' pen.), Dale (90+2')
Pack (57'), Morrison (73'), Scarlett (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Collins (61')
Whelan (20'), Gibson (53'), Rossiter (72'), Finley (85'), Coutts (86')

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

Last Six:

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Peterborough United	4	4	9
3	Portsmouth	4	5	8
4	Bolton Wanderers	4	4	8

Bristol Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Barnsley	4	2	6
10	Bristol Rovers	4	1	6
11	Lincoln City	4	1	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 20.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Bristol Rovers
57.24% ( 3.03)	22.74% ( -0.52)	20.02% ( -2.51)

Both teams to score 52.55% (

-1.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.37% (

-0.82)

46.63% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.1% (

-0.78)

68.9% (

0.77)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96% (

0.76)

16.04% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.6% (

1.38)

45.4% (

-1.38)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.59% (

-2.93)

37.41% (

2.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.81% (

-2.99)

74.19% (

2.99)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 57.23%

Bristol Rovers 20.02%

Draw 22.74%

Portsmouth	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.65) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.65) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.23%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.22) Other @ 1.62% Total : 20.02%